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Want to Know How People Will Vote? Ask Them If They Own Guns

Grace Stevens - comments No comments

One side effect of [increased minority gun ownership] is the ongoing decay of the gun control movement. Last year, support for gun control fell to a seven-year low, thanks in part to the surge in crime. But it’s the long-term effect of the country gaining more than 7.5 million gun owners that stands out.

In the 2016 presidential election, there was no clearer indicator of preference than gun ownership. Voters in households with guns supported Donald Trump in every state except Vermont. Voters in households without guns backed Hillary Clinton in every state but West Virginia and Wyoming. Gun ownership saw a bigger partisan divide than race, religion, and union membership.

Republicans have already made gains among Hispanic and black voters in recent elections. New gun owners among those groups could help tip the scale even further. But even if new gun owners choose to be Democrats, the gun control movement is in for a rough time: Support for various gun control proposals, including banning “assault-style weapons,” drops among gun-owning Democrats.

 

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