“The first study to find a significant relationship between firearm crime and subsequent applications for, and issuance of, concealed-carry gun permits has been published in the Journal of Interpersonal Violence,” medicalexpress.com reports. “Firearm Violence and Effects on Concealed Gun Carrying: Large Debate and Small Effects found there is a consistent link between violent crime—especially crimes that involve guns—and an increase in the number of people issued carry permits over two time periods examined in the study.” And now for the money shot . . .
“From a theoretical perspective, the finding of firearm crime as a predictor of concealed carrying is the first such demonstrable relationship and provides evidence that should solicit further investigation,” the study says . . .
Given the complexity of legal gun carrying, Carter and his co-author included a number of control variables that helped to isolate the effects of firearm violence. Carter said, “After controlling for a range of possible explanatory factors, the relationship between firearm violence and subsequent legal gun permitting is quite present.”
Translation: give me more money! But seriously folks, we paid good money for someone to prove that an increase in crime stimulates Americans’ desire to exercise their natural, civil and constitutionally protected right to keep and bear arms? That said, there is an interesting hidden dynamic in play.
The research focuses on county-level data from all 67 counties in Florida, which has issued more concealed-carry permits than any other state. As of November 2015, there were 1.6 million valid concealed-carry permits in Florida.
The study measures violent crime using the Uniform Crime Reporting index offenses of violent crime, including homicide, rape, robbery and aggravated assault. The two time periods examined by the study are 2005 to 2012 and 1996 to 2012.
Theoretically, nonviolent crime receives noticeably less media attention and does not carry the heightened degree of sensitivity that comes with firearm violence. As such, there could be unique differences between firearm and non-firearm violence that might influence people’s decision to want to carry a gun, says Carter.
Spot on. Burglary, theft, Jehovah’s Witnesses knocking on your door probably add to the “heightened degree of sensitivity” that leads to concealed carry permit applications. But what about TTAG’s role? I almost tempted to write Mr. Carter a check. But not quite. [h/t ActionPhysicalMan]