June 2015 NICS Checks Highest Ever. Gun Sales Surge or the New Normal?

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“The June 2015 NSSF-adjusted National Instant Criminal Background Check System (NICS) figure of 886,825 is the highest June on record for the 17-year-old system,” the National Shooting Sports Foundation reports, “with an increase of 10.1 percent compared to the June 2014 NSSF-adjusted NICS figure of 805,571.” This astounding number of NICS checks number – which doesn’t include background checks for concealed carry licenses doesn’t necessarily indicate that gun sales have started surge. But . . .

it’s an excellent indication that the U.S. firearms market isn’t declining. At all.

While the civilian disarmament industrial complex and their mainstream media anti-gun agitprop enablers would have you believe that the post-Newtown surge is down to OFWGs buying more and more guns, it’s more than likely that the increasing number of women buyers (an estimated 20% of total sales) and younger shooters entering the market and, presumably, returning (as new gun buyers are wont to do), are keeping sales strong.

If Hillary Clinton avoids jail time [sic] and becomes the Democratic nominee, you can bet your bottom dollar gun owners will start stocking up again. If an establishment Republican gets his or her party’s nomination (*cough* Jeb Bush *cough*) well, here we go again.

comments

  1. avatar pod says:

    The two last people I introduced to the world of shooting were a woman and a younger person.

    1. avatar kapeltam says:

      Introducing my best friend’s fiancee to handguns. She has a little experience with shotguns and .22 rifles. I hope to have her shooting some big bore stuff by christmas, and wanting a gun of her own!

      1. avatar Dry Sider says:

        Also, remember that here in WA state, with the passage of I-594, all private sales “have to” run a background check.

        IF people are following he law, all those sales now appear on a NICs tally count.

  2. avatar Sanchanim says:

    This is winning. Sure we are fighting in towns, counties, and states for gun rights, but the bottom line is when individuals put skin in the game they start caring about it. Some more than others, but the more new shooters, younger millennials plop down their hard earned cash for a firearm, well, that will trump the agitprop anti argument any day.

  3. avatar Jack Sperry says:

    Many states, including Texas, don’t require Concealed Handgun License (CHL) holders to go through an NICS check at the time of purchase.
    CHL holders have already been background checked as much as police officers and, as a group, are more law-abiding (i.e., less criminal convictions) that police officers.

    So, the current NICS numbers are WAY too low for the number of guns being sold by FFLs.

    Hey, “Bloomberg Moms” – put that in your pipe and smoke it.

    1. avatar Ralph says:

      The NSSF numbers (posted above) are adjusted to eliminate NICS checks for licenses.

      1. avatar MarkPA says:

        You missed his point. Under the NICS law the Feds will allow an FFL to sell a gun to a buyer with a CWP or FOID provided that the State-issued ID required a BC. Some States override this allowance and require a NICS check even when the buyer has their own State CWP/FOID. About 21 States don’t over-ride the Fed allowance.

        So, in one of these 21 States, a person can get his CWP/FOID and he gets a BC via NICS. NSSF deducts this BC because it comes from a State, not an FFL. Now, the new CWP/FOID holder walks out the door of his local Sheriff’s office and in the door of his FFL and buys a gun. He fills out the 4473 form, but there is NO BC on the purchase. NSSF has no means of picking up the fact that this CWP/FOID holder bought a gun.

        Our CWP/FOID holder can buy another gun next week/month/year, and another and another. Still, no NICS checks coming in from the FFLs.

        To the extent that this phenomena occurs (in about 21 States) the NICS adjustments don’t pick up the sales.

        1. avatar joe says:

          Illinois has gone well beyond the NICS at time of FOID. The state police have been running NICS checks daily against all FOID holders since at least 2008.

          http://www.isp.state.il.us/media/pressdetails.cfm?ID=449 and also mentioned during the debates on concealed carry two years ago.

        2. avatar Rusty Chains says:

          Some retailers run checks against licensed carriers even in states that don’t require it, because company policy. This is why Dick’s Sporting goods gets no business from me.

      2. avatar RetiredJarhead says:

        What Jack was saying is that some states don’t require a NICS check AT ALL for purchase if the buyer already holds a CCW/CHL. But in the reading I have done, I don’t know if that is the case anymore. I thought after 30 November 1998, all transfers requiring an ATF form 4473 were required to be vetted through NICS…?

        1. avatar Jeff the Griz says:

          In MI I fill out the 4473, show my cpl, pay, leave.

        2. avatar uncommon_sense says:

          RetiredJarhead,

          Federal licensed firearm dealers regularly sell firearms without running a background check when the purchaser has a concealed carry license. It doesn’t matter whether the purchaser is buying a handgun, shotgun, or rifle.

          As far as I can tell, federal licensed firearm dealers require a form 4473 on EVERY firearm they sell. But that is separate from the whole background check discussion.

        3. avatar Dyspeptic Gunsmith says:

          Correct. Here in Wyoming, if you have a CCL, you don’t need a NICS check run on you.

          But the FFL MUST, absolutely MUST, fill out a 4473 and keep it in his files for every retail sale, and there will be a notation in the bound book as to the disposition of the gun. The CCL # will be kept on the 4473 instead of the NICS number.

  4. avatar Ken says:

    It wasn’t me. Jan., Feb. and July were another matter.

    1. avatar Mr Pierogie says:

      It would have been me, but it’s been over 3 months and I’m still waiting for NJ police to allow me to buy a pistol or two. Gotta love the permitting system in NJ.

  5. avatar Mark N. says:

    I’ll be adding to the figures later this week when the gun I bought off auction arrives at my FFL. Happy to do it! (Maybe I’ll even write a review….since it is a Colt 1873 clone, that Henry will fit right in with it. )

    1. avatar uncommon_sense says:

      Poor Mark N. … he can only purchase pre-1900 firearms (and replicas) due to California’s draconian firearms laws.

      /end_sarcasm

      1. avatar JJ says:

        where is /end_strawman button?

  6. avatar JWM says:

    Streets awash in guns. Love it.

  7. avatar CentralIL says:

    I wish the NSSF would release their adjusted numbers every month. We only seem to see them when they are good.

    1. avatar Ralph says:

      I wish the NSSF would release their adjusted numbers every month.

      NSSF publishes their numbers all the time. The reason that the numbers “always” seem good is because they usually have been — except for the 2014 annual numbers, which were disappointing compared to the Obama scare years.

  8. avatar Nate says:

    Proud to be a part of that statistic 😀 This makes me want to buy a bunch of guns now. Is that normal? lol

  9. avatar Ddub says:

    There are worse things to spend money on. Relatively speaking the average firearm is not that expensive, and the more people hear the anti-gun BS, the better that $500 gat looks, and AR’s have never been better or cheaper.

    1. avatar Roymond says:

      To the people who really need them, those on the lower end of the economic ladder who are as the most common targets of crime, firearms are definitely not inexpensive.

      1. avatar Jonathan - Houston says:

        It’s more a matter of priority than affordability. Plenty of “poor” people smoke cigarettes, drink booze, have cable, cellphones, and kids who strut around in $200 sports shoes.

        Forego even a month’s worth of that crap and you can buy a nice entry level shotgun.

  10. avatar Tommy Knocker says:

    Where is the longitutinal data to support the numbers on women and “young shooters ” whatever that is.

  11. avatar SD3 says:

    Cool, man! I just bought a new CZ 550 FS in .308 last Thursday!

  12. avatar John Franco says:

    Women and younger shooters are the exact demographics needed to ensure a positive future for our 2nd Amendment Right. These two groups use to represent the groups socialist gun control groups would target to instill fear into. Nowadays people are thinking for themselves and realizing that self defense is their OWN responsibility, that the shooting sports are pretty damned cool, and that the 2nd Amendment is the publics own check and balance against on overbearing government.

    1. avatar Ralph says:

      Women and younger shooters are the exact demographics needed

      Well, if we could get the illegal alien vote too, we’d be in like Flynn.

      1. avatar Greg in Allston says:

        In like Ray Flynn? Yeah, I think not. In like Flint, well, maybe. James Coburn set many a fire in his day amongst the teeny-bopper set, but a Sean Connery/007 he was not, though he tried mightily and came close.

        Ahhh….., for those days when men were men and the women were ferociously and unapologetically feminine. It’s not easy being an old school anachronism, you know.

  13. avatar Newwave says:

    I got interested in obtaining more firearms in the fall of 2008. Let’s just say the current occupant of the WH has spurred many to become interested in firearms. My biggest regret to date is trading in a Ruger .44 Mag given me by my father. Kick myself every time I think about it. As others have said, I am a buyer not a seller.

  14. avatar NateGA says:

    New XDs .45 last month…glad I could help

  15. avatar Ralph says:

    the increasing number of women buyers (now 30% of total sales)

    I don’t know how true that is, but I do know that if the leftists lose the women, they are all done. Finis. Kaput. Terminado. Even POTUS won’t be able to import enough foreign felons to stop the tide.

    C’mon, ladies. We need you. Get a gun. Get involved. Save your own life and maybe a whole lot more.

    1. avatar TX Gungal says:

      Doing my best, as a woman, to have as many handguns as will fit in my gun cabinet. Today picked up a check at local gun store for sale of a 9mm pistol to pay for a 9mm pistol I had purchased last month. I only will sell a handgun in order to purchase another one.
      As far as younger generation becoming gun owners, might be interested in the growing popularity of bachelor parities being held at gun ranges. Couple of weeks ago was at outdoor range, office was filled with over 20+ young guys having a party for their friend. Most were at the gun counter looking to buy a first pistol. Owner of the range, a woman, said it’s become very popular trend. BTW these were college educated guys from Austin TX. working for the same high tech company.

  16. avatar Southern Cross says:

    It will be interesting to see if the upward trend continues into July. Certainly with new shooters, coming of age shooters who can now legally purchase their own guns, and end of year sales prompting replacements and upgrades for existing shooters can cause an upswing in sales.

    Downunder it was hoped by the anti-gun groups that after the 1990s buy backs and the new restrictions on licenses and usage of firearms that the sport would diminish and fade away. The anti-gun groups had a big hissie fit over the increased number of licensed shooters and the number of guns in private ownership.

    What was causing the angst was that while the shooters were NOT breaking the law, they were not doing what the anti-gun groups wanted them to do.

    Although anyone with half a brain could see that there was an increase in the population but the growth in the sport was greater.

    1. avatar uncommon_sense says:

      What was causing the angst was that while the shooters were NOT breaking the law, they were not doing what the anti-gun groups wanted them to do.

      Hence our common mantra, “It’s not about guns, it’s about control!”

  17. avatar BLAMMO says:

    How and why does the NSSF make adjustments to the NICS data? What are the bases for the adjustments and to what end?

  18. avatar Former Water Walker says:

    New normal-especially if civil unrest continues apace…wish I had some $ to add to the statistics…

  19. avatar gsnyder says:

    I’m sure the data reflects a surge across the board. The progressive network though anti-gun is the gun sales best friend.

  20. avatar Bob in Washington says:

    I spurred a young mans interest in guns to the extent he went out and got training, bought his pistol, then applied for his CCW.
    His wife was resistant to the idea of him being armed, but the nightly news was enough to change her mind. I hope we can get her armed in the future. Some range time should help.

  21. avatar neiowa says:

    When does NSSF break ground on the Soetoro wing of their museum?

    1. avatar Marcus (Aurelius) Payne says:

      Invite him to the grand opening, put the video on YouTube…makes me giggle just imagining it.

  22. avatar mike oregon says:

    My household added a M&P40c and a Mossberg 500,then another boating accident, Sigh.

    1. avatar Jeff the Griz says:

      Oh Sh!t, just put a 20g 500 in layaway for Christmas, hope the boat doesn’t flip again here!

      1. avatar uncommon_sense says:

        … hope the boat doesn’t flip again here!

        It is a virtual certainty … since you are never more than 5 miles from a lake or stream in your state!

  23. avatar JJ says:

    US gun ownership is likely up. The peer reviewed academic work shows that surveys and polls on questions people consider private, massive under-counts are the rule.

    The academic studies show that indirect questions glean the most accurate results. In the case of the US and guns, we have a good indirect question asked by the largest firm, gallup in their national surveys: “do you think having a firearm in the home makes it a safer place or more dangerous place to be?”

    63% of Americans say owning a gun makes them and their families safer.

    It is likely US gun ownership is up around 63% of households
    http://www.gallup.com/poll/179213/six-americans-say-guns-homes-safer.aspx

    I also thing the claimed demographics by Pew and GSS are wrong. I have older male friends in the mountain states who would not hesitate to say they have a gun since it is a given.

    I am in the Northeast, mid 30’s and my dad taught my sister and I to NEVER tell anyone about guns in the home. No poll or survey is really anonymized and may as well tell a stranger you keep large amounts of cash at home.

    ‘My view we see a general raw undercount in surveys and polls, and that the undercount is more acute among women, younger people, and people who keep a firearm for home defense, as opposed to hunting and social target shooting

  24. avatar ghost says:

    Republican/Democrat/Socialist, are not our friends. Once elected all bets are off.

  25. avatar uncommon_sense says:

    I have a sneaking suspicion that the heinous attack at the church in South Carolina may have caused a sudden increase in sales and dramatically increased the number of associated NICS checks in June.

    1. avatar JJ says:

      No. This is a term trend.

  26. avatar Greg in Allston says:

    As Kevin Baker noted (of the Smallest Minority blog fame) the other day, Americans have been buying firearms and ammunition at a remarkable pace for the last two decades. Extrapolating out a bit, when the “austerity riots” or whatever societal breakdown you care to categorize finally reaches our shores, it’s going to be absolutely SPECTACULAR.

  27. avatar Carlton Tan says:

    It looks bleak for the GOP, when even TTAG supports the transex freaks and the homosex maniacs, it look like another establishment GOP will be the nominee, which means another democrat victory. Lucky Hillary. If the GOP wants a victory then you need a nominee who is both a social conservative and a fiscal conservative. That means saying no to the baby murderers and homosex freaks along with defense for the 2nd amendment and the 1st.

  28. avatar Anon says:

    Carlton Tan,
    I have no problem with Trans and homosexuals. I am a practicing Catholic. But I follow what Christ taught, not the Catholic Church and all it pedophiles (if they had acknowledged the problem, I’d have been a lot happier)
    Christ accept all, including lepers and prostitutes. My opinion is that he was inclusive. The Bible and the Gospels were written well after he died.
    Look up the Nicene Creed and it’s origins. Anytime you get a bureaucracy involved (including the Church) you are going to have significant negative issues.

  29. avatar Sledgecrowbar says:

    It would be nice if 50% of total sales came from women. Just because they make up half the population, and there’s no reason for them to be any less apt to buy one, whether for protection or recreation. You don’t see women shying away from owning cars or cell phones, and if everyone had sense, nobody would think a gun is a particularly different purchase than either of those.

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