When John Lott released his book More Guns, Less Crime the title alone caused a sensation. Well it would, really. The statistics-laden text was indecipherable to math-challenged adults. Still, point taken: the parts of America with a high(er) percentage of legal gun owners have a lower crime rate than the parts of America with a low(er) percentage of legal gun owners. Despite numerous [failed] attempts to debunk Lott’s methodology and conclusions, MGLC remains a seminal work in the history of the fight to restore American gun rights. The man’s at it again, releasing his new, innocuously-titled report Concealed Carry Permit Holders Across the United States. Here are the bullet points . . .
– The number of concealed handgun permits is increasing at an ever- increasing rate. Over the past year, 1.7 million additional new permits have been issued – a 15.4% increase in just one single year. This is the largest ever single-year increase in the number of concealed handgun permits.
– 5.2% of the total adult population has a permit.
– Five states now have more than 10% of their adult population with concealed handgun permits.
– In ten states, a permit is no longer required to carry in all or virtually all of the state. This is a major reason why legal carrying handguns is growing so much faster than the number of permits.
– Since 2007, permits for women has increased by 270% and for men by 156%.
– Some evidence suggests that permit holding by minorities is increasing more than twice as fast as for whites.
– Between 2007 and 2014, murder rates have fallen from 5.6 to 4.2 (preliminary estimates) per 100,000. This represents a 25% drop in the murder rate at the same time that the percentage of the adult population with permits soared by 156%. Overall violent crime also fell by 25 percent over that period of time.
– Regression estimates show that even after accounting for the per capita number of police and people admitted to prison and demographics, the adult population with permits is significantly associated with a drop in murder and violent crime rates.
– Concealed handgun permit holders are extremely law-abiding. In Florida and Texas, permit holders are convicted of misdemeanors or felonies at one- sixth the rate that police officers are convicted.
Winning? Sure looks like it.